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    Home » Goldman Sachs Forecasts Four US Fed Hikes, Anticipates Faster Runoff in 2022
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    Goldman Sachs Forecasts Four US Fed Hikes, Anticipates Faster Runoff in 2022

    January 10, 20221 Min Read
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    The Federal Reserve is set to hike interest rates four times this year and will begin its balance sheet runoff process in July, if not sooner.

    • In a research note, Goldman’s Jan Hatzuis stated that rapid progress in the U.S. labor market and hawkish signals in Fed’s meetings from Dec.14-15 point to faster normalization.
    • Hatzius further stated that they were pulling forward their runoff projection from December to July, with risks tilted to the earlier side.
    • In its Dec. minutes, the Fed officials signaled that they were poised for quicker tightening of the monetary policy to keep the economy from overheating amid surging inflation and near-full employment.
    • The minutes further indicated that the economic conditions could warrant a possibility faster rate of policy rate normalization.

    Fed officials also saw the scheduling of reducing the $8.8 trillion balance sheet as possibly “closer to that of policy-rate liftoff than in the committee’s last experience.

    DXY up +0.20%, EUR USD down -0.30%Source: Bloomberg

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